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The Future of Social Welfare Protection Systems

The World Economic Forum's recent collaborative report with Zurich Insurance, into the challenges facing the provision of fundamental social protection in the developed world makes for a chastening read for the insurance and pensions industry.

In the workforce automation, the growth of part-time and self-employment, the remote and gig economy and sharing and collaborative working arrangements/contracts are threatening the relationship(s) between work and the funding of welfare provision - because pensions and welfare systems are tied to the model of lifelong employment to just a few employers.  Longevity increases and a decrease in the average lifespan of companies is increasing the scale and complexity of the challenge facing policy-makers and the insurers who will support them.

The report suggests five approaches:  increasing the flexibility and portability of pension arrangements, simpler and more flexible pension models, increasing the provision of 'Flexicurity' to accommodate the gig workforce and support for ageing workers; and more radically, alternative income distribution models, such as Finland's current experiment in its more depressed regions with a universal basic income.

The report concludes that we ignore these changes at our peril: "Failure to take action risks both the deterioration of public finances and the exacerbation of social unrest"...

An issue underlying the rise of disaffection with the political and economic status quo is that social protection systems are at breaking point. Employers are backing away from traditional employment models and social protection contributions, and individuals once again are shouldering a larger share of the risks. This concern is also the second risk in focus in this chapter of the Global Risks Report 2017 which relates to the functioning of society and politics. The report suggests some of the innovations that will be needed to fill the gaps that are emerging in our social protection systems as individuals shoulder greater responsibility for costs associated with economic and social risks such as unemployment, exclusion, sickness, disability and old age. New systems will need to address gaps in social protection across typical life events...

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